There sure has ben a lot of finger-pointing among Progressives on the Interwebs this week, primarily over the questions of whether or not the Senate healthcare reform bill is worth torpedoing and whether Rahm Emmanuel is a backstabbing traitor and whether Howard Dean should shut the fuck up and whether Joe Lieberman should burn in hell for all eternity. Which then has led to the follow-up question as to whether or not we on the Left have fundamentally misread Obama the politician and the policy-maker from the get-go.
In that vein, Doug J at Balloon Juice reasonably asks:
Did you all think you were voting for a transformational change agent when you voted for Obama last November? I didn’t. I thought I was voting for a pragmatist, who would (hopefully) bring about positive, gradual change in some areas--—bring in a sane economic policy, do something about health care (he’s been more ambitious than I thought he would be on this), end the excesses of Bush foreign policy (even as he continues some Bush policies I don’t agree with).
Is that more or less what you thought?
Did I think Obama was a transformational change agent? I think the real question is, how could anyone not? We are, after all, talking about a liberal. And a Democrat. And a black guy. Named Hussein, for Chrissakes, winning an election in post-Reagan America.
Americans, historically, have tended to be somewhat conservative in their choice of political leaders. By that I mean "incremental," preferring to elect political leaders who won't upset any apple carts and who will make only gradual, not wholesale, changes to the policies enacted by their immediate predecessors---more or less what Doug J says he expected from Obama. Every 20 to 30 years, however, the electorate will choose a candidate who promises, either by philosophy or temperament, to make a clear break from the immediate past and bring a new philosophy of governance to Washington. While the demographic and political trends that gradually tip the scales in favor of that particular candidate may be many years in the making, the candidate's ascension to the pinnacle of power simply cannot be seen as anything other than the beginning of a political sea change, both in terms of philosophy and policy. It was certainly that way the last time it happened, in 1980. It can be argued that it happened in 1960, and it certainly was the case in 1932, and in 1904, and in 1884, and in 1860, and in 1828. Take a look at the intervals between those numbers, and a chronological pattern begins to emerge, doesn't it?
Flash forward to 2008, when a young man who was a relative unknown only four years earlier astonishes the world by winning the Presidency. His liberal political views, and his insistence on treating the electorate as adults, are as sharp a contrast to his predecessor's as any that we have ever seen in our lifetimes. He campaigns on a platform which includes a pledge for universal health care for all Americans, and dares to touch the Third Rail of post-Proposition 13 politics by (a) proclaiming unabashedly that the Reaganomic models of low taxes and deregulation that have governed economic policy for more than a generation are fundamentally flawed and must be replaced, and furthermore, by (b) calling for a tax increase on the wealthy.
So, to recap: He's black, in a nation that has never elected a black President and which has been defined in many ways by three centuries of institutional racism in its history. He's a liberal running in an era that has been dominated and defined by conservative politics and politicians for over 20 years. He even has an odd and exotic background, and an Arabic name, in a nation that is currently engaged in two wars against various Islamic movements and which has grown increasingly resentful of immigrants in poor economic times.
And yet he won anyway. By nine million votes. The biggest margin of victory in a Presidential race since . . . our last transformational election, in 1980.
So yeah, I did envision Obama as a transformational agent of change, not a moderate incrementalist, and I don't see how anyone would think that such a perception was in any way flawed or misguided. To me, his ascension to power was just as dramatic, and just as unlikely in the face of conventional wisdom, as those of an elderly B-movie actor or a paraplegic governor. To be fair, Obama has faced challenges, and in particular a rabid and insane opposition party, that have been unprecedented in American history---at least, since the Civil War. But I really don't think that an attempt to re-cast him now as some conciliatory moderate gently pulling the nation back towards the political center, rather than as a liberal crusader tugging it sharply to the left, rings particularly true, either as contemporary narrative or as part of an evolving historical saga. That may be Obama's political fate, but if it is, I do believe it will be largely of his own making (acknowledging his pragmatic temperament), and an historic opportunity to radically change the course of America's political discourse will have been squandered in the name of a chimerical post-partisanship. That's what's frustrated me the most over the healthcare debate---not so much the actual knee-jerk willingness to compromise with vain little men like Nelson and Lieberman, who will be mere footnotes in the history books a century from now, but the failure to see these workaday compromises and concessions in the greater historical perspective, and how they will dictate, and ultimately short-change, the political future of the Republic, 20 to 30 years hence. That is, unless we are simply not to be allowed the privilege of Roosevelt/LBJ-style Social Democratic government anymore, and we are destined henceforth to be forever governed by a revolving cartel of corporatists who can only be truly distinguished between each other by their positions on guns, Jesus, unborn babies and homo marriage. If that's the case, then our elections, and our citizens, no longer have the power to influence the course of our shared history, and we'll have officially entered the Decline of the American Empire.
Update: Writing at HuffPo today, Jane Hamsher nails it:
With unemployment at 10%, the idea that you can pass a bill whose only merit is that "liberals hate it" just because the media will eat it up and print your talking points in the process is so cynical and short-sighted it's hard to comprehend anyone would pursue it. It reflects a total insensitivity to the rage that is brewing on the popular front, which is manifest in every single poll out there.
Yet time and again, we're told "Obama retains his popularity with liberals" and that "screeching liberal bloggers" aren't having an impact. Nobody seems to notice that the "screeching liberal bloggers" are reflecting the very same sentiments of the vast majority of the country, whether the very small segment of the population who self-identify as "extremely liberal" holds the President responsible or no.
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Vitelius